Iran booted from Yahoo!, Microsoft lists

•November 9, 2007 • 1 Comment

Two U.S.-based e-mail services, Microsoft and Yahoo!, have taken Iran off their country lists

Yahoo! issued a statement saying it continually reviews its business operations to comply with U.S. restrictions on “conducting business in specified countries, such as Iran.”

“Consistent with this policy, our current practice is to not accept registrations from countries subject to these restrictions,” the company said.

Microsoft had no comment, said The Register, a British Web site covering the online world.

Iran remains an option for Google G-mail users. The company said it did not believe that keeping Iran on its country list violates the sanctions

Why Yahoo (YHOO) Should Buy AOL (TWX)

•November 9, 2007 • No Comments

yahoologo.gifEarlier, we laid out the reasons Time Warner (TWX) should sell AOL to Yahoo.  Here, we discuss the reasons why Yahoo should buy it.  We estimate a fair price for the whole thing (access+advertising) would be about $13-$15 billion.  We believe a fair price for the advertising business alone might be $10-$12 billion.

We believe the acquisition would be immediately accretive to Yahoo earnings, especially after cost cuts. 
See this online spreadsheet, which lays out a back-of-the-envelope look at the impact at a “Low” purchase price of $12 billion and a “High” price of $15 billion, assuming an all-stock deal.  In both cases, the transaction would be immediately accretive to Yahoo’s earnings.

  • In the “low price for AOL” scenario, Yahoo would end up with 76% of the combined company.
  • In the “high price for AOL” scenario, Yahoo would end up with 72%…

The Internet market has become a waltz of elephants, and there is only room for three big generalists.  Right now there are four.  Mature markets usually support three big generalists, not four.  Microsoft, Yahoo, and AOL simply have to combine forces, or Yahoo will remain under pressure and AOL or Microsoft will die (if Microsoft’s Internet division were a stand-alone business, it would already be dead).  The combination of AOL and Yahoo makes the most sense.

The combination would bolster Yahoo’s domestic market position, especially in ad networks and display advertising.  Yahoo and AOL have almost exactly the same strategy with regard to owned-and-operated properties and third-party ad networks.  By combining forces with AOL’s Advertising.com, Tacoda, et al, Yahoo would absolutely dominate the third-party network business.  It would also have far stronger owned-and-operated properties than AOL ever will as a standalone. The combination of both would allow it to more effectively become a “must-buy” for advertisers, as well as a desperately desired alternative to Google.

The combined company would have a stronger share of search queries.  Yahoo’s search share has been declining, as has AOL’s. It’s true that tying two bricks together won’t make them float, but neither will keeping them separate.  More share is good, especially with search algorithm efficiency heavily dependent on volume.

AOL’s stand-alone brands–TMZ, Mapquest, Truveo, etc.–would fit will within the Yahoo empire and could be further leveraged though Yahoo’s global distribution platform. .

AOL’s AIM, ICQ, and Yahoo Messenger could all be standardized and made interoperable
.  This combination would make Yahoo by far the most powerful online communications platform, an area where Google is still weak.

Yahoo could replace AOL’s ghastly email system with Yahoo Mail, bolstering Yahoo Mail’s competitive position.  This would save money and customers.

Yahoo could cut a lot of redundant cost
(technology, data centers, distribution), which would make the AOL business far more profitable than it is today.  This could make the deal less expensive.

Yahoo could cut long-term distribution agreements with other Time Warner content properties, which would benefit both sides.

Economics

We estimate that AOL’s advertising business (portal and platform) is worth about $10-$12 billion.  We estimate that the access piece–which Yahoo could buy and then sell or keep–is worth about $2-$3 billion ($2.5 billion in revenue probably going to about $1.5 billion, estimated EBITDA of about $1 billion going to perhaps $500 million).  This suggests that a fair price for the whole kit and kaboodle is about $13-$15 billion.

Yahoo currently has about a $40 billion market cap.  A stock deal would produce a combined company worth about $50-$55 billion, with Time Warner shareholders owning about 25%.  Please see this online spreadsheet for details.

Yahoo! races to secure mobile lead

•November 9, 2007 • No Comments

While Google has grabbed mobile headlines with its Gphone, rival Yahoo! is working feverishly to lock up distribution deals that can give mobile advertisers the scale they’ve been searching for.

Marco Boerries, Yahoo’s mobile chief, told Reuters that the company has a three-pronged approach to wireless that could make the medium as big as computer-based advertising. While Google is working to develop software that can turn virtually any phone into a Gphone, Yahoo has split the difference between carriers, handset manufacturers and web services.

“The race is going to be who builds the biggest arsenal of partners and numbers of page views,” Boerries said.

For Boerries, that means circling the globe to lock up distribution deals with handset manufacturers like Nokia and Motorola and carriers like Vodafone.

Yahoo In China: An Unfair Attack

•June 10, 2007 • No Comments

There has been much coverage this week on the Congressional hearing into Yahoo’s disclosure of information to the Chinese Government.For those who missed it, in short Yahoo was attacked by both sides of politics for complying with a request under Chinese law, in China, to provide information on a political dissident.

The rhetoric was raw; San Mateo Democrat Chairman Tom Lantos called Yahoo moral pygmies, and Rep. Chris Smith, R-N.J., compared Yahoo’s cooperation with the Chinese government to companies that cooperated with Nazi Germany during World War II.

When it comes to China there are very few who will come to the defense of those who deal with the Chinese Government.

Yahoo’s actions might have been in part wrong morally, but legally they have done nothing wrong, and in a global economy this is even more true.

Consider what Yahoo has done. Yahoo China (which I’d note is only 40% owned by Yahoo) received a “subpoena-like document” that requested information from a sovereign nation. Yahoo General Counsel Michael Callahan contended that Yahoo employees in China had little choice but to comply with the government’s demands. “I cannot ask our local employees to resist lawful demands and put their own freedom at risk, even if, in my personal view, the local laws are overbroad,” he said.

For this, Yahoo has been called moral pygmies and been compared to a company trading with Nazi Germany. Lets flip this around: does the committee, or for that matter the American Government believe that companies trading in the United States should ignore local laws if and when they find them morally repugnant? I doubt they would, but this is the crux of what they are suggesting, unless of course they may be so arrogant to believe that US law should be the supreme law of the entire planet. Consider if Baidu set up an American subsidiary, and the FBI subpoenaed them trying to find information on a terrorist. Would they not expect Baidu to comply with the request? If Baidu failed to comply would the Committee and US Government support them in their refusal to comply?

I’m not suggesting that the Chinese political dissident in this case was a terrorist, but understand that some one advocating the overthrow of the Chinese Government is not dissimilar to some one doing the same thing in the United States, even if the two nations would disagree on categorization based on the means advocated.

Foreign and US companies trading in the United States are expected to comply with local laws, even those that many would now consider to be morally and legally indefensible. It was Google who refused to comply with subpoenas from the Justice Department in 2005, where as Yahoo complied. Other actions of the United States Government raise eyebrows world wide: the suspension of Habeas Corpus comes to mind.

China is not like Nazi Germany, even if I don’t agree with some of what the Government does there, and to suggest that it is like Nazi Germany is an insult to the victims of WW2 as well as the Chinese people. Presuming China is Nazi Germany, why is it that the United States is importing approx $280 billion of Chinese goods every year? If this committee is seriously anti-China, and this reflects the will of the Government, why does trade continue? why are Chinese companies allowed to trade in the United States and conversely US companies in China? This can be stopped: look at the current sanctions on Iran for an example.

Ultimately, Yahoo has been made a scapegoat for the flaws of US foreign policy. If the US Government is as serious as the rhetoric of this committee would suggest, they’d stop trade with China tomorrow, but that’s not going to happen, is it. The executive team at Yahoo may be on shaky moral ground, but legally they have done nothing more than be a good corporate citizen, no matter which country they operate in

Yahoo! Messenger (8.1)

•January 19, 2007 • No Comments

Call friends & family around the world using the all new Yahoo! Messenger (8.1) Find out more

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Plus IM with Windows Live™ Messenger friends, share files up to 1GB, and enjoy the best IM experience on the net.

http://messenger.yahoo.com/

Use stealth settings

•January 19, 2007 • No Comments

Use stealth settings
Reduce interruptions. Appear online to some, offline to everyone else.

Share files (up to 1GB!)

•January 19, 2007 • No Comments

Share files (up to 1GB!)
Just drag-and-drop them into your IM window. Then share and discuss in real-time.

LAUNCHcast Radio
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Plug-in the fun

•January 19, 2007 • No Comments

Add your personal touch. Handy plug-ins deliver the stuff you want to your Messenger. Choose Yahoo! plug-ins or ones from eBay, Amazon.com, and more. See more plug-ins

IM with friends on Windows Live Messenger

•January 19, 2007 • No Comments

IM with friends on Windows Live Messenger
Have all your IM friends in one place. Ping-away with people who use Windows Live Messenger. They’ll also be on your contact list so you can see when they’re online. Find out more

Make FREE PC-to-PC Calls

•January 19, 2007 • No Comments

All you need is a headset, or a microphone and speakers. It’s that easy - just click the Call button. Find out more